Vendee Globe - 1130 - 9/1/01We can see from the forecast for Thursday morning (right) that the depression is then going to spin off a satellite that will head north-east, towards a point north-west of the Horn.
This new low will force some of the pack chasing Desjoyeaux to take the high road round the top of it's centre (avoiding headwinds to the south) and then blast south-east with the low as it rolls around the Horn.
It's a tricky looking forecast and the exact timing and positioning will be crucial, but it looks like Ellen and maybe even Jourdain could just stay ahead of it and go straight to the Cape - which is a much better prognosis than yesterday.
But some of the skippers behind could find themselves in true Cape Horn conditions as they scorch round this landmark on the top of what - in three days time - looks a pretty intense system.
Map images courtesy of Virtual Spectator, click here to go to the VS site.
Please note that two different methods of calculating the Distance to Finish are being used, one by Virtual Spectator and one by the Vendee Globe Race Office, we will try to always make it clear which we are using!
Link to the madforsailing form guide.
Rankings (0500 GMT except where stated, Tuesday 9/1, with Distances to Finish from Race Office)
1 PRB (Desjoyeaux) (at 07:00 GMT) 56.5S 78.4W 7562 nm
2 Kingfisher (MacArthur) 53.4S 94.3W +514 nm
3 SILL Matines La Potagère (Jourdain) 53.5S 100.5W +719 nm
4 Active Wear (Thiercelin) 53.1S 103.4W +824 nm
5 Sodebo (Coville) 53.1 113.2W +1130 nm
6 Union Bancaire Privée (Wavre) 52.2S 118.1W +1307 nm
7 Whirlpool (Chabaud) 52.1S 134.3W +1846 nm
8 EBP EspritPME Gartmore (Hall) (at 04:00 GMT) 50.3S 137.5W +1986 nm
9 VM Matériaux (Carpentier) (at 07:00 GMT) 55.3S 158.2W +2562 nm
10 Voila.fr (Gallay) (at 07:00 GMT) 55S 160.3W +2640 nm
11 Nord Pas de Calais - Chocolats du Monde (Seeten) (at 07:00 GMT) 55.1S 164.4W +2777 nm
12 Team Group 4 (Golding) (at 07:00 GMT) 53.2S 169.2W +2973 nm