Banque Populaire slows
|Instant||4hr av||24 hours|
|04/02/2011 09:00||45°48.38'S||003°36.47'W||7.2||81°||15.4||22.1||531.6||18 094||268|
|04/02/2011 07:00||45°50.78'S||004°13.25'W||14.7||84°||19.4||23.3||559.2||18 119||303.1|
|04/02/2011 05:00||45°53.91'S||005°04.46'W||19.8||87°||23||24.6||591.1||18 152||330.7|
|04/02/2011 03:00||45°56.70'S||006°04.07'W||24.6||92°||24.2||25.5||613.1||18 192||350.3|
|04/02/2011 01:00||45°55.13'S||007°16.76'W||23.1||93°||22.3||26.1||627.3||18 241||364.2|
|03/02/2011 22:45||45°52.78'S||008°31.72'W||24.1||94°||20.1||26.6||637.4||18 292||380.5|
|03/02/2011 21:00||45°51.71'S||009°24.73'W||19.4||90°||19.4||27.5||660.9||18 327||397.1|
|03/02/2011 19:00||45°50.77'S||010°20.23'W||19.7||89°||21.9||28.5||685.1||18 365||421.3|
|03/02/2011 17:00||45°52.04'S||011°16.30'W||21.9||94°||24.9||30||720.8||18 401||443|
|03/02/2011 15:00||45°44.99'S||012°25.43'W||27.3||99°||27.3||30.9||742||18 450||456.3|
|03/02/2011 13:00||45°36.35'S||013°37.31'W||26.8||99°||28||31.2||749.9||18 500||460.4|
|03/02/2011 11:05||45°27.46'S||014°54.74'W||29.6||104°||27.6||31||743||18 554||453.2|
|03/02/2011 09:00||45°20.98'S||016°15.78'W||18.5||107°||30.2||31.7||760.1||18 610||451.7|
We are still waiting to hear Banque Populaire's plans following her collision yesterday with an unidentified floating object that wiped out the bottom of her daggerboard and destroyed the board's crash box. Will it compromise their record attempt with the bulk of the Southern Ocean ahead of them?
Despite Pascal Bidegorry saying yesterday that they were going to ease off, the 40m trimaran has still be making average speeds of 20-25 knots over the last 24 hours, however the latest scheds show that she is slowing and with this so her lead over 'virtual Groupama 3' has halved to 268 miles. Banque Populaire's slowing is probably due to her finally encountering the ridge that lies between her and the depression to her northeast that at the moment is moving slowly south.
At present Banque Populaire is at around 45°40S, which is a long way south. It is below Groupama's track and it is also in what the Barcelona World Race organisers perceive to be the danger zone for ice. We find it hard to believe that she won't head north for if she continues at this latitude as soon as she is through the ridge, she'll be into the headwinds to the south of the depression. Yesterday the forecast was indicating that this depression would be heading deep into the Southern Ocean. But today both GFS and European GRIBs agree that it will remain centred at 42°S for the duration of the weekend, so assuming that they choose to continue it is likely they will try tacking into it on starboard and then will try and exit the depression...somehow (the shape of the depression doesn't lend itself to tacking out once the wind backs into the northeast), or they will head sharply north to head around the top of the depression. We wait to see.