Vendee Globe - 1230 - 11/1/01The forecast is pretty unstable, and the picture this morning is different to yesterday's. The low now looks like it will stall for a while, rather than rounding Cape Horn smoothly, and then develop a pair of centres (right). The eastern one will eventually split off and head east round the Horn, taking anyone who's in it with them.
The longer it takes to do that, the more punishing it will be for Michel Desjoyeaux. At the moment there is quite a big high pressure ridge ahead of him, and not a lot of breeze. The timing of the movement of the low is crucial to the fortunes of the leaders, as their choices are highly constrained by the fact that they have to round Cape Horn. There's no open ocean to escape to for better breeze.
Those that can find the strength to squeeze the most from the difficult conditions should prosper - especially with the help of a healthy dollop of luck. Marc Thiercelin was moaning yesterday that God was English - let's hope he's right.
Map images courtesy of Virtual Spectator, click here to go to the VS site.
Please note that two different methods of calculating the Distance to Finish are being used, one by Virtual Spectator and one by the Vendee Globe Race Office, we will try to always make it clear which we are using!
Link to the madforsailing form guide.
Rankings (0700 GMT except where stated, Thursday 11/1, with Distances to Finish from Race Office)
1 PRB (Desjoyeaux) (at 05:01 GMT) 54.6S 64.1W 6975 nm
2 Kingfisher (MacArthur) (at 06:00 GMT) 56.2S 79.1W +668 nm
3 SILL Matines La Potagère (Jourdain) 55.3S 87.3W +833 nm
4 Active Wear (Thiercelin) (at 06:00 GMT) 55.2S 87.6W +866 nm
5 Sodebo (Coville) 52.5S 98.4W +1257 nm
6 Union Bancaire Privée (Wavre) 52.1S 103.2W +1410 nm
7 Whirlpool (Chabaud) (at 05:00 GMT 52.1S 118.4W +1916 nm
8 EBP EspritPME Gartmore (Hall) (at 05:00 GMT) 51.1S 123.2W +2095 nm
9 VM Matériaux (Carpentier) (at 05:03 GMT) 55.2S 144.5W +2694 nm
10 Voila.fr (Gallay) 53.5S 147.6W +2827 nm
11 Nord Pas de Calais - Chocolats du Monde (Seeten) (at 05:00 GMT) 55.1S 153W +2980 nm
12 Team Group 4 (Golding) (at 05:00 GMT) 54S 156.3W +3111 nm